📊 Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for Lens U19 x JA Drancy U19
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Analysis from Lens U19 x JA Drancy U19 for the France U19 League – 16 of January
🏟️ Lens U19 X JA Drancy U19 – France U19 League
When the best bet on Lens U19 x JA Drancy U19 is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 288046 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Lens U19 x JA Drancy U19
Is betting on Lens U19 worth it?
🔵 Lens U19: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 19.08%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 190 times – profiting $456.00;
- And would lose other 810 times – losing -$810.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$354.00.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 29.96%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 300 times – this would give you a profit of $750.00
- And would have lost other 700 times – with a loss of -$700.00 because of them.
Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$50.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.
Should you bet on JA Drancy U19?
🔴 JA Drancy U19: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 50.97% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.87. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 510 times – profiting $443.70;
- And would lose other 490 times – losing -$490.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$46.30.
Handicaps analysis for the match Lens U19 x JA Drancy U19
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Lens U19
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Lens U19 x JA Drancy U19
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 Lens U19, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.5 Lens U19.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Lens U19 x JA Drancy U19
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves