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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Lentigione x Prato Betting tips for January 12 in Italy Serie D
Sunday, 12 January 2025, 13h30 Italy Serie D
Lentigione Lentigione
PREDICTION No tip
Prato Prato
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Lentigione x Prato Betting tips for January 12 in Italy Serie D

Our betting tip for Lentigione x Prato, Sunday, 12/1/2025
πŸ“… 12/1/2025
13:30
Lentigione Lentigione
1.83
X
3.25
Prato Prato
3.80

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Lentigione x Prato:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Lentigione x Prato

Some important points for the tip for Lentigione x Prato:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Lentigione in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-84.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Prato in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-250.0.
πŸ‘‰ Prato did not score any goals in the last 4 matches as away team.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, Lentigione scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team against Prato, Lentigione scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 Prato matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ Lentigione has won all the last 5 matches playing at home against Prato.

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Summary

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Analysis from Lentigione x Prato for the Italy Serie D – 12 of January

🏟️ Lentigione X Prato – Italy Serie D
πŸ“… 12 of January, 2025 – 13:30
πŸ”΅ Lentigione – Winning probability: 54.52% | Fair line: 1.83
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 29.75% | Fair line: 3.36
πŸ”΄ Prato – Winning probability: 15.74% | Fair line: 6.35
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Lentigione
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Lentigione x Prato right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1244844 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Lentigione x Prato

Is it a good idea to bet on Lentigione?

πŸ”΅ Lentigione: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 54.52% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.83. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 550 times – this would give you a profit of $456.50
  • And would have lost other 450 times – with a loss of -$450.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$6.50.

Is betting on draw worth it?

βšͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 29.75% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 300 times – profiting $675.00;
  • And would have lost other 700 times – with a loss of -$700.00 because of them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just πŸ’°$25.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is it worth betting on Prato?

πŸ”΄ Prato: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 15.74%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 160 times – this would give you a profit of $448.00
  • And would lose other 840 times – having a loss of -$840.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$392.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Lentigione x Prato

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Lentigione
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Lentigione x Prato

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Lentigione and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Lentigione.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Lentigione x Prato

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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