📊 Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for Leon Women x Juarez FC Women
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Analysis from Leon Women x Juarez FC Women for the Mexico Liga MX Femenil – 18 of January
🏟️ Leon Women X Juarez FC Women – Mexico Liga MX Femenil
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Leon Women x Juarez FC Women right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 288856 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Leon Women x Juarez FC Women
Is it worth betting on Leon Women?
🔵 Leon Women: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 58.84% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 590 times – this would give you a profit of $354.00
- And would have lost other 410 times – with a loss of -$410.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$56.00.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 24.95% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.75. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 250 times – this would give you a profit of $687.50
- And would lose other 750 times – having a loss of -$750.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$62.50.
Should you bet on Juarez FC Women?
🔴 Juarez FC Women: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 16.21% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 160 times – profiting $560.00;
- And would lose other 840 times – losing -$840.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$280.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Leon Women x Juarez FC Women
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Leon Women
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Leon Women x Juarez FC Women
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Leon Women and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Leon Women.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Leon Women x Juarez FC Women
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves