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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Leones x Internacional FC de Palmira Betting tips for October 2 in Colombia Primera B
Wednesday, 02 October 2024, 17h00 Colombia Primera B
Leones Leones
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 34% 1 X 2
Internacional FC de Palmira Internacional FC de Palmira
ODD: @3.08 Don't miss this prediction!

Leones x Internacional FC de Palmira Betting tips for October 2 in Colombia Primera B

Our betting tip for Leones x Internacional FC de Palmira, Wednesday, 2/10/2024
๐Ÿ“… 2/10/2024
17:00
Leones Leones
2.44
X
3.08
Internacional FC de Palmira Internacional FC de Palmira
2.76

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Leones x Internacional FC de Palmira:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Tied Match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1540.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Leones x Internacional FC de Palmira:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Leones in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-72.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Internacional FC de Palmira in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-17.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the home team, Leones scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 Leones matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the away team, Internacional FC de Palmira conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ Leones has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against Internacional FC de Palmira playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Leones x Internacional FC de Palmira for the Colombia Primera B – 2 of October

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Leones X Internacional FC de Palmira – Colombia Primera B
๐Ÿ“… 2 of October, 2024 – 17:00
๐Ÿ”ต Leones – Winning probability: 36.15% | Fair line: 2.77
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 34.03% | Fair line: 2.94
๐Ÿ”ด Internacional FC de Palmira – Winning probability: 29.83% | Fair line: 3.35
โš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Leones
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Leones x Internacional FC de Palmira right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1193870 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Leones x Internacional FC de Palmira

Is it a good idea to bet on Leones?

๐Ÿ”ต Leones: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 36.15%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.44. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 360 times – profiting $518.40;
  • And would lose other 640 times – having a loss of -$640.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$121.60.

Is it worth betting on draw?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 34.03% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.08. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 340 times – profiting $707.20;
  • And would have lost other 660 times – with a loss of -$660.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$47.20.

Should you bet on Internacional FC de Palmira?

๐Ÿ”ด Internacional FC de Palmira: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 29.83%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.76. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 300 times – profiting $528.00;
  • And would lose other 700 times – losing -$700.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$172.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Leones x Internacional FC de Palmira

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Leones
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Leones x Internacional FC de Palmira

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Leones, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Leones.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Leones x Internacional FC de Palmira

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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