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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Levante x Almeria Betting tips for September 29 in Spain Segunda
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 09h00 Spain Segunda
Levante Levante
PREDICTION No tip
Almeria Almeria
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Levante x Almeria Betting tips for September 29 in Spain Segunda

Our betting tip for Levante x Almeria, Sunday, 29/9/2024
πŸ“… 29/9/2024
09:00
Levante Levante
2.45
X
3.40
Almeria Almeria
2.63

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Levante x Almeria:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Levante x Almeria

Important information for your tip for Levante x Almeria:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Levante in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $3.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Almeria in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-25.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the home team, Levante scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Levante x Almeria, with Levante as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team, Levante conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Levante x Almeria?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Levante x Almeria, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Levante x Almeria for the Spain Segunda – 29 of September

🏟️ Levante X Almeria – Spain Segunda
πŸ“… 29 of September, 2024 – 09:00
πŸ”΅ Levante – Winning probability: 41.26% | Fair line: 2.42
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 26.56% | Fair line: 3.76
πŸ”΄ Almeria – Winning probability: 32.18% | Fair line: 3.11
βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Levante
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Levante x Almeria right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1190630 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Levante x Almeria

Should you bet on Levante?

πŸ”΅ Levante: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 41.26% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.45. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 410 times – having a profit of $594.50;
  • And would have lost other 590 times – with a loss of -$590.00 because of them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just πŸ’°$4.50 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 26.56% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 270 times – this would give you a profit of $648.00
  • And would lose other 730 times – having a loss of -$730.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$82.00.

Is betting on Almeria worth it?

πŸ”΄ Almeria: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 32.18% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.63. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 320 times – profiting $521.60;
  • And would lose other 680 times – having a loss of -$680.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$158.40.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Levante x Almeria

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Levante
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Levante x Almeria

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Levante, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Levante.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Levante x Almeria

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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