Levante x Burgos Betting tips for December 1 in Spain Segunda

Our betting tip for Levante x Burgos, Sunday, 1/12/2024

📅 1/12/2024 17:30

Levante 1.63

X 3.60

Burgos 5.00

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Levante x Burgos:

🔮 Levante wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Levante, you can win up to $815.00!

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Important information for your tip for Levante x Burgos: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Levante in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $128.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Burgos in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-356.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Levante scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Levante conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Burgos conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Analysis from Levante x Burgos for the Spain Segunda – 1 of December

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Levante and Burgos.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1230121 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Levante x Burgos

Is it worth betting on Levante?

🔵 Levante: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 62.3% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.63. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 620 times – profiting $390.60;
• And would have lost other 380 times – with a loss of -$380.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$10.60.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 23.73% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 240 times – this would give you a profit of $624.00
• And would lose other 760 times – having a loss of -$760.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$136.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Burgos?

🔴 Burgos: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 13.97% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 140 times – profiting $560.00;
• And would lose other 860 times – having a loss of -$860.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$300.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Levante x Burgos

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Levante
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Levante x Burgos

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Levante, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Levante.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Levante x Burgos

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.