Levski Sofia x Arda Kardzhali Betting tips for April 9 in Bulgaria First League

Our betting tip for Levski Sofia x Arda Kardzhali, Thursday, 9/4/2026

📅 9/4/2026 17:30

Levski Sofia 1.32

X 4.22

Arda Kardzhali 8.99

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Levski Sofia x Arda Kardzhali:

🔮 Levski Sofia wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Levski Sofia, you can win up to $660.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Levski Sofia x Arda Kardzhali:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Levski Sofia in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $154.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Arda Kardzhali in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-115.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Levski Sofia scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Levski Sofia is good playing home: it has 5 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
👉 Levski Sofia has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Arda Kardzhali playing at home.

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Analysis from Levski Sofia x Arda Kardzhali for the Bulgaria First League – 9 of April

Odds and handicap movements for Levski Sofia x Arda Kardzhali

One step many punters overlook is analysing the movement of odds and the handicap over time. Doing this gives a clearer idea of market expectations for the match between Levski Sofia x Arda Kardzhali.

Check the summary below that compares opening odds with current odds across the main markets: 1X2, handicap and goals.

Tips for the 1×2 market for Levski Sofia x Arda Kardzhali

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Levski Sofia x Arda Kardzhali right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1518721 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Should you bet on Levski Sofia?

🔵 Levski Sofia: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 88.5% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.32. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 880 times – this would give you a profit of $281.60
• And would lose other 120 times – losing -$120.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$161.60.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 9.64% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.22. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 100 times – profiting $322.00;
• And would lose other 900 times – losing -$900.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$578.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Arda Kardzhali?

🔴 Arda Kardzhali: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 1.87% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 8.99. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 20 times – having a profit of $159.80;
• And would lose other 980 times – having a loss of -$980.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$820.20.

Handicaps analysis for the match Levski Sofia x Arda Kardzhali

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.75 Levski Sofia
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Levski Sofia x Arda Kardzhali

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.75 Levski Sofia, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.25 Levski Sofia.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.25 Levski Sofia.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Levski Sofia x Arda Kardzhali

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

FAQs: Common questions about the tip for Levski Sofia x Arda Kardzhali