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Home » Predictions » Others » Leyton Orient x Oldham Betting tips for November 30 in England FA Cup
Saturday, 30 November 2024, 15h00 England FA Cup
Leyton Orient Leyton Orient
PREDICTION Leyton Orient wins Probability 70% 1 X 2
Oldham Oldham
ODD: @1.67 Don't miss this prediction!

Leyton Orient x Oldham Betting tips for November 30 in England FA Cup

Our betting tip for Leyton Orient x Oldham, Saturday, 30/11/2024
📅 30/11/2024
15:00
Leyton Orient Leyton Orient
1.67
X
4.20
Oldham Oldham
4.54

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Leyton Orient x Oldham:

🔮 Leyton Orient wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Leyton Orient, you can win up to $835.00!

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Important information for your tip for Leyton Orient x Oldham:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Leyton Orient in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-2.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Oldham in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $220.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against Oldham, Leyton Orient scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Leyton Orient x Oldham, with Leyton Orient as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 6 road matches, Oldham has not lost any of them.
👉 Leyton Orient has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against Oldham playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Leyton Orient x Oldham for the England FA Cup – 30 of November

🏟️ Leyton Orient X Oldham – England FA Cup
📅 30 of November, 2024 – 15:00
🔵 Leyton Orient – Winning probability: 70.63% | Fair line: 1.42
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 10.70% | Fair line: 9.35
🔴 Oldham – Winning probability: 18.68% | Fair line: 5.35
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Leyton Orient
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Leyton Orient x Oldham is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1229690 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Leyton Orient x Oldham

Is it worth betting on Leyton Orient?

🔵 Leyton Orient: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 70.63% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.67. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 710 times – this would give you a profit of $475.70
  • And would have lost other 290 times – with a loss of -$290.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$185.70.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 10.7% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 110 times – this would give you a profit of $352.00
  • And would have lost other 890 times – with a loss of -$890.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$538.00.

Should you bet on Oldham?

🔴 Oldham: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 18.68% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.54. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 190 times – having a profit of $672.60;
  • And would lose other 810 times – having a loss of -$810.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$137.40.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Leyton Orient x Oldham

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Leyton Orient
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Leyton Orient x Oldham

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Leyton Orient and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Leyton Orient.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Leyton Orient x Oldham

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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