Libertad Asuncion x Sportivo Luqueno Betting tips for July 5 in Paraguay Division Profesional
| 📅 5/7/2025 21:30 |
 Libertad Asuncion1.41 |
X 4.00 |
Sportivo Luqueno  6.70 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Libertad Asuncion x Sportivo Luqueno:
🔮 Libertad Asuncion wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Libertad Asuncion, you can win up to $705.00!
Some important points for the tip for Libertad Asuncion x Sportivo Luqueno:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Libertad Asuncion in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-362.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Sportivo Luqueno in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Libertad Asuncion scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Sportivo Luqueno conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Libertad Asuncion has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Sportivo Luqueno playing at home.
👉 It is not a good time for Sportivo Luqueno as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.
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Analysis from Libertad Asuncion x Sportivo Luqueno for the Paraguay Division Profesional – 5 of July
🏟️ Libertad Asuncion X Sportivo Luqueno – Paraguay Division Profesional
📅 5 of July, 2025 – 21:30
🔵 Libertad Asuncion – Winning probability: 83.66% | Fair line: 1.2
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 12.60% | Fair line: 7.93
🔴 Sportivo Luqueno – Winning probability: 3.74% | Fair line: 26.74
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Libertad Asuncion
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Libertad Asuncion x Sportivo Luqueno right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1348834 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Libertad Asuncion x Sportivo Luqueno
Is it a good idea to bet on Libertad Asuncion?
🔵 Libertad Asuncion: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 83.66%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.41. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 840 times – having a profit of $344.40;
- And would lose other 160 times – having a loss of -$160.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$184.40.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 12.6%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 130 times – profiting $390.00;
- And would have lost other 870 times – with a loss of -$870.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$480.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on Sportivo Luqueno?
🔴 Sportivo Luqueno: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 3.74% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 6.70. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 40 times – profiting $228.00;
- And would lose other 960 times – having a loss of -$960.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$732.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Libertad Asuncion x Sportivo Luqueno
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Libertad Asuncion
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Libertad Asuncion x Sportivo Luqueno
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 Libertad Asuncion and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.25 Libertad Asuncion.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.25 Sportivo Luqueno.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Libertad Asuncion x Sportivo Luqueno
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.
