Ligorna x Derthona Betting tips for March 9 in Italy Serie D

Our betting tip for Ligorna x Derthona, Sunday, 9/3/2025

📅 9/3/2025 13:30

Ligorna 1.72

X 3.30

Derthona 4.30

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Ligorna x Derthona:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Ligorna x Derthona

Important information for your tip for Ligorna x Derthona: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Ligorna in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-125.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Derthona in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $175.0. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Ligorna scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 Ligorna matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Ligorna conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Ligorna has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against Derthona playing at home.

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Ligorna x Derthona?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2025. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Ligorna x Derthona for the Italy Serie D – 9 of March

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Ligorna x Derthona right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1277138 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Ligorna x Derthona

Is it a good idea to bet on Ligorna?

🔵 Ligorna: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 59.63% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.72. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 600 times – having a profit of $432.00;
• And would have lost other 400 times – with a loss of -$400.00 because of them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$32.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 25.11% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 250 times – this would give you a profit of $575.00
• And would have lost other 750 times – with a loss of -$750.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$175.00.

Is betting on Derthona worth it?

🔴 Derthona: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 15.26% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 150 times – this would give you a profit of $495.00
• And would lose other 850 times – having a loss of -$850.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$355.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Ligorna x Derthona

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Ligorna
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Ligorna x Derthona

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Ligorna, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Ligorna.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Ligorna x Derthona

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.