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Home » Predictions » Lija Athletic x Gudja United Betting tips for September 29 in Malta Challenge League
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 15h30 Malta Challenge League
Lija Athletic Lija Athletic
PREDICTION Gudja United Wins Probability 58% 1 X 2
Gudja United Gudja United
ODD: @1.85 Don't miss this prediction!

Lija Athletic x Gudja United Betting tips for September 29 in Malta Challenge League

Our betting tip for Lija Athletic x Gudja United, Sunday, 29/9/2024
📅 29/9/2024
15:30
Lija Athletic Lija Athletic
3.66
X
3.55
Gudja United Gudja United
1.85

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Lija Athletic x Gudja United:

🔮 Gudja United wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Gudja United, you can win up to $925.00!

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The main points for the tip for Lija Athletic x Gudja United:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Gudja United in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-180.0.

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Summary

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Analysis from Lija Athletic x Gudja United for the Malta Challenge League – 29 of September

🏟️ Lija Athletic X Gudja United – Malta Challenge League
📅 29 of September, 2024 – 15:30
🔵 Lija Athletic – Winning probability: 20.57% | Fair line: 4.86
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 20.84% | Fair line: 4.8
🔴 Gudja United – Winning probability: 58.59% | Fair line: 1.71
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Lija Athletic
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on Lija Athletic x Gudja United is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1190630 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Lija Athletic x Gudja United

Is betting on Lija Athletic worth it?

🔵 Lija Athletic: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 20.57% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.66. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 210 times – profiting $558.60;
  • And would lose other 790 times – losing -$790.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$231.40.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 20.84%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.55. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 210 times – profiting $535.50;
  • And would lose other 790 times – losing -$790.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$254.50.

Is it worth betting on Gudja United?

🔴 Gudja United: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 58.59%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.85. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 590 times – this would give you a profit of $501.50
  • And would lose other 410 times – losing -$410.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$91.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Lija Athletic x Gudja United

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Lija Athletic
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Lija Athletic x Gudja United

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.75 Lija Athletic and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.5 Lija Athletic.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Gudja United.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Lija Athletic x Gudja United

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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