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Home » Predictions » Others » Lille x Dunkerque Betting tips for February 4 in France Cup
Tuesday, 04 February 2025, 18h00 France Cup
Lille Lille
PREDICTION Lille wins Probability 89% 1 X 2
Dunkerque Dunkerque
ODD: @1.42 Don't miss this prediction!

Lille x Dunkerque Betting tips for February 4 in France Cup

Our betting tip for Lille x Dunkerque, Tuesday, 4/2/2025
📅 4/2/2025
18:00
Lille Lille
1.42
X
4.33
Dunkerque Dunkerque
6.58

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Lille x Dunkerque:

🔮 Lille wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Lille, you can win up to $710.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Lille x Dunkerque:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Lille in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $220.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Dunkerque in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $325.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Lille scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Dunkerque scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Dunkerque, Lille scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Lille matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Lille conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Lille is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
👉 In the last 5 road matches, Dunkerque has not lost any of them.
👉 Lille has won all the last 3 matches playing at home against Dunkerque.

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Summary

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Analysis from Lille x Dunkerque for the France Cup – 4 of February

🏟️ Lille X Dunkerque – France Cup
📅 4 of February, 2025 – 18:00
🔵 Lille – Winning probability: 89.72% | Fair line: 1.11
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 7.04% | Fair line: 14.21
🔴 Dunkerque – Winning probability: 3.25% | Fair line: 30.8
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Lille
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Lille and Dunkerque.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1256585 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Lille x Dunkerque

Is it a good idea to bet on Lille?

🔵 Lille: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 89.72% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.42. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 900 times – this would give you a profit of $378.00
  • And would have lost other 100 times – with a loss of -$100.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$278.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 7.04% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.33. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 70 times – profiting $233.10;
  • And would lose other 930 times – losing -$930.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$696.90.

Is it a good idea to bet on Dunkerque?

🔴 Dunkerque: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 3.25%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 6.58. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 30 times – having a profit of $167.40;
  • And would have lost other 970 times – with a loss of -$970.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$802.60.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Lille x Dunkerque

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Lille
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Lille x Dunkerque

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 Lille, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.25 Lille.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.25 Dunkerque.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Lille x Dunkerque

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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