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Home » Predictions » Others » Limianos x Dumiense Betting tips for April 13 in Portugal Campeonato Nacional
Sunday, 13 April 2025, 15h00 Portugal Campeonato Nacional
Limianos Limianos
PREDICTION Limianos wins Probability 90% 1 X 2
Dumiense Dumiense
ODD: @1.27 Don't miss this prediction!

Limianos x Dumiense Betting tips for April 13 in Portugal Campeonato Nacional

Our betting tip for Limianos x Dumiense, Sunday, 13/4/2025
📅 13/4/2025
15:00
Limianos Limianos
1.27
X
5.08
Dumiense Dumiense
9.25

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Limianos x Dumiense:

🔮 Limianos wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Limianos, you can win up to $635.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Limianos x Dumiense:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Limianos in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-128.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Dumiense in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-125.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Limianos scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Dumiense conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 It is not a good time for Dumiense as away team: it comes from 4 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Limianos x Dumiense?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2025. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Limianos x Dumiense for the Portugal Campeonato Nacional – 13 of April

🏟️ Limianos X Dumiense – Portugal Campeonato Nacional
📅 13 of April, 2025 – 15:00
🔵 Limianos – Winning probability: 90.38% | Fair line: 1.11
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 7.50% | Fair line: 13.33
🔴 Dumiense – Winning probability: 2.12% | Fair line: 47.11
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Limianos
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Limianos and Dumiense.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1302187 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Limianos x Dumiense

Is betting on Limianos worth it?

🔵 Limianos: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 90.38% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.27. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 900 times – profiting $243.00;
  • And would lose other 100 times – losing -$100.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$143.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 7.5% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.08. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 80 times – this would give you a profit of $326.40
  • And would lose other 920 times – losing -$920.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$593.60.

Is betting on Dumiense worth it?

🔴 Dumiense: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 2.12% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 9.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 20 times – this would give you a profit of $165.00
  • And would lose other 980 times – having a loss of -$980.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$815.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Limianos x Dumiense

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Limianos
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Limianos x Dumiense

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 Limianos, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.5 Limianos.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.5 Dumiense.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Limianos x Dumiense

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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