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Home » Predictions » Others » Limianos x Pevidem SC Betting tips for November 30 in Portugal Campeonato Nacional
Saturday, 30 November 2024, 15h00 Portugal Campeonato Nacional
Limianos Limianos
PREDICTION Limianos wins Probability 56% 1 X 2
Pevidem SC Pevidem SC
ODD: @1.91 Don't miss this prediction!

Limianos x Pevidem SC Betting tips for November 30 in Portugal Campeonato Nacional

Our betting tip for Limianos x Pevidem SC, Saturday, 30/11/2024
📅 30/11/2024
15:00
Limianos Limianos
1.91
X
3.40
Pevidem SC Pevidem SC
3.40

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Limianos x Pevidem SC:

🔮 Limianos wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Limianos, you can win up to $955.00!

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Important information for your tip for Limianos x Pevidem SC:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Limianos in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-290.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Pevidem SC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $140.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Limianos conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Pevidem SC conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Limianos x Pevidem SC for the Portugal Campeonato Nacional – 30 of November

🏟️ Limianos X Pevidem SC – Portugal Campeonato Nacional
📅 30 of November, 2024 – 15:00
🔵 Limianos – Winning probability: 56.06% | Fair line: 1.78
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 24.31% | Fair line: 4.11
🔴 Pevidem SC – Winning probability: 19.63% | Fair line: 5.1
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Limianos
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Limianos x Pevidem SC right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1229690 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Limianos x Pevidem SC

Is betting on Limianos worth it?

🔵 Limianos: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 56.06%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.91. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 560 times – profiting $509.60;
  • And would lose other 440 times – losing -$440.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$69.60.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 24.31%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 240 times – this would give you a profit of $576.00
  • And would lose other 760 times – losing -$760.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$184.00.

Should you bet on Pevidem SC?

🔴 Pevidem SC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 19.63% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 200 times – having a profit of $480.00;
  • And would lose other 800 times – having a loss of -$800.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$320.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Limianos x Pevidem SC

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Limianos
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Limianos x Pevidem SC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Limianos and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Limianos.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Pevidem SC.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Limianos x Pevidem SC

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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