Clube da Aposta Clube da Aposta menu  
What would you like to find?
fundo 1
free bonus kenya betting
Home » Predictions » Others » Limon Black Star x Cariari Pococi Betting tips for February 4 in Costa Rica Segunda
Tuesday, 04 February 2025, 01h00 Costa Rica Segunda
Limon Black Star Limon Black Star
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 30% 1 X 2
Cariari Pococi Cariari Pococi
ODD: @3.5 Don't miss this prediction!

Limon Black Star x Cariari Pococi Betting tips for February 4 in Costa Rica Segunda

Our betting tip for Limon Black Star x Cariari Pococi, Tuesday, 4/2/2025
📅 4/2/2025
01:00
Limon Black Star Limon Black Star
3.04
X
3.50
Cariari Pococi Cariari Pococi
2.05

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Limon Black Star x Cariari Pococi:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1750.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Limon Black Star x Cariari Pococi:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Limon Black Star in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-320.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Cariari Pococi in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $138.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Cariari Pococi scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 Cariari Pococi matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Limon Black Star x Cariari Pococi, with Limon Black Star as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Cariari Pococi conceded at least 2 goal(s).

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Limon Black Star x Cariari Pococi?

Maybe you already have an account on Bet365, but that is not a problem! We, from the Clube da Aposta, have been on this business since 2010 and know which bookies are trustworthy or not. Check out our list of the best betting sites in Kenya from 2025, you just have to click and bet:

Analysis from Limon Black Star x Cariari Pococi for the Costa Rica Segunda – 4 of February

🏟️ Limon Black Star X Cariari Pococi – Costa Rica Segunda
📅 4 of February, 2025 – 01:00
🔵 Limon Black Star – Winning probability: 28.89% | Fair line: 3.46
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 30.75% | Fair line: 3.25
🔴 Cariari Pococi – Winning probability: 40.36% | Fair line: 2.48
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Limon Black Star
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Limon Black Star x Cariari Pococi right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1256513 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Limon Black Star x Cariari Pococi

Should you bet on Limon Black Star?

🔵 Limon Black Star: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 28.89%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.04. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 290 times – having a profit of $591.60;
  • And would have lost other 710 times – with a loss of -$710.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$118.40.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 30.75%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 310 times – having a profit of $775.00;
  • And would have lost other 690 times – with a loss of -$690.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$85.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Cariari Pococi?

🔴 Cariari Pococi: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 40.36% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.05. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 400 times – having a profit of $420.00;
  • And would lose other 600 times – having a loss of -$600.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$180.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Limon Black Star x Cariari Pococi

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Limon Black Star
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Limon Black Star x Cariari Pococi

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.75 Limon Black Star and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.5 Limon Black Star.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Cariari Pococi.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Limon Black Star x Cariari Pococi

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
Newsletter
Newsletter

Receba o melhor conteúdo sobre Apostas Esportivas On-line direto na sua caixa de email

There is a problem with this PHP insert: missing both parameters