Linares Deportivo x Aguilas Betting tips for April 12 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4

Our betting tip for Linares Deportivo x Aguilas, Saturday, 12/4/2025

📅 12/4/2025 15:00

Linares Deportivo 2.31

X 2.75

Aguilas 3.10

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Linares Deportivo x Aguilas:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Linares Deportivo x Aguilas

Some important points for the tip for Linares Deportivo x Aguilas: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Linares Deportivo in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $125.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Aguilas in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-18.0. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Linares Deportivo scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Aguilas scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Linares Deportivo matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Linares Deportivo x Aguilas?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Linares Deportivo x Aguilas, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Linares Deportivo x Aguilas for the Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4 – 12 of April

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Linares Deportivo x Aguilas right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1301554 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Linares Deportivo x Aguilas

Should you bet on Linares Deportivo?

🔵 Linares Deportivo: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 42.66%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.31. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 430 times – having a profit of $563.30;
• And would lose other 570 times – having a loss of -$570.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$6.70 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 33.1% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 330 times – this would give you a profit of $577.50
• And would have lost other 670 times – with a loss of -$670.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$92.50.

Is betting on Aguilas worth it?

🔴 Aguilas: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 24.24% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 240 times – this would give you a profit of $504.00
• And would lose other 760 times – losing -$760.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$256.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Linares Deportivo x Aguilas

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Linares Deportivo
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Linares Deportivo x Aguilas

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Linares Deportivo and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Linares Deportivo. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Linares Deportivo x Aguilas

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.