| ๐
15/1/2022 15:00 |
 Linfield1.36 |
X 4.25 |
Ballymena Utd  7.50 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Linfield x Ballymena Utd:
๐ฎ Linfield wins the match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Linfield, you can win up to $680.00!
๐ Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for Linfield x Ballymena Utd
Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Linfield x Ballymena Utd?
Maybe you already have an account on Bet365, but that is not a problem! We, from the Clube da Aposta, have been on this business since 2010 and know which bookies are trustworthy or not. Check out our list of the best bookmakers from 2022, you just have to click and bet:
Analysis from Linfield x Ballymena Utd for the Northern Ireland Premier – 15 of January
|
๐๏ธ Linfield X Ballymena Utd – Northern Ireland Premier |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Linfield x Ballymena Utd right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 287992 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Linfield x Ballymena Utd
Should you bet on Linfield?
๐ต Linfield: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 83.65% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.36. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 840 times – this would give you a profit of $302.40
- And would lose other 160 times – losing -$160.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of ๐ฐ$142.40.
Is it worth betting on draw?
โช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 10.91% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.25. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 110 times – profiting $357.50;
- And would lose other 890 times – losing -$890.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐ฐ-$532.50.
Is it a good idea to bet on Ballymena Utd?
๐ด Ballymena Utd: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 5.44% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 7.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 50 times – having a profit of $325.00;
- And would lose other 950 times – having a loss of -$950.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$625.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Linfield x Ballymena Utd
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
โ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Linfield
โฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Linfield x Ballymena Utd
โ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Linfield, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.25 Linfield.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.25 Ballymena Utd.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Linfield x Ballymena Utd
โฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.
Our tips are also on YouTube
Keep in mind that our team of bettors is daily on YouTube with complete videos of analysis for the best matches of the day. Check out our bets for this Saturday right above and subscribe to our betting tips channel.
Get free tips on your Telegram
Aside from our tips for Linfield x Ballymena Utd generated by our algorithm, you can also receive on your cellphone bets made by the experts from Clube da Aposta on this Saturday. Click on the banner below and join our VIP group on Telegram right now. And the best part: for free!
Written by
Humberto Alves
Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.
> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
