📊 Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for Linfield x Glenavon
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Analysis from Linfield x Glenavon for the Northern Ireland Premier – 22 of January
🏟️ Linfield X Glenavon – Northern Ireland Premier
When the best bet on Linfield x Glenavon is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 290605 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Linfield x Glenavon
Is it a good idea to bet on Linfield?
🔵 Linfield: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 94.24% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 940 times – having a profit of $188.00;
- And would lose other 60 times – losing -$60.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$128.00.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 2.31% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.80. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 20 times – profiting $96.00;
- And would lose other 980 times – having a loss of -$980.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$884.00.
Is it worth betting on Glenavon?
🔴 Glenavon: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 3.45% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 9.49. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 30 times – having a profit of $254.70;
- And would lose other 970 times – losing -$970.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$715.30.
Handicaps analysis for the match Linfield x Glenavon
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.75 Linfield
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Linfield x Glenavon
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.75 Linfield, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 Linfield.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 Linfield.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Linfield x Glenavon
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.
Our tips are also on YouTube
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves