Liverpool x Accrington Stanley Betting tips for January 11 in England FA Cup

Our betting tip for Liverpool x Accrington Stanley, Saturday, 11/1/2025

📅 11/1/2025 12:15

Liverpool 1.04

X 14.00

Accrington Stanley 34.00

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Liverpool x Accrington Stanley:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Liverpool x Accrington Stanley

Some important points for the tip for Liverpool x Accrington Stanley: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Liverpool in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $52.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Accrington Stanley in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-67.0. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Liverpool scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Accrington Stanley scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 Liverpool matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Liverpool conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Analysis from Liverpool x Accrington Stanley for the England FA Cup – 11 of January

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Liverpool and Accrington Stanley.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1244516 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Liverpool x Accrington Stanley

Is it worth betting on Liverpool?

🔵 Liverpool: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 99.99% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.04. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 1000 times – this would give you a profit of $40.00
• And would have lost other 0 times – with a loss of -$0.00 because of them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$40.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 0.01% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 14.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 0 times – profiting $0.00;
• And would have lost other 1000 times – with a loss of -$1000.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$1000.00.

Is it worth betting on Accrington Stanley?

🔴 Accrington Stanley: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 0.0%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 34.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 0 times – having a profit of $0.00;
• And would lose other 1000 times – having a loss of -$1000.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$1000.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Liverpool x Accrington Stanley

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -3.25 Liverpool
⚽ Expected goals: 4.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Liverpool x Accrington Stanley

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -3.25 Liverpool and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -3.0 Liverpool.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -3.0 Liverpool.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Liverpool x Accrington Stanley

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 4.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 4.00 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.