📊 Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Livingston x Ross County
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Analysis from Livingston x Ross County for the Scotland FA Cup – 22 of January
🏟️ Livingston X Ross County – Scotland FA Cup
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Livingston and Ross County.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 290605 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Livingston x Ross County
Is it a good idea to bet on Livingston?
🔵 Livingston: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 56.53%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 570 times – profiting $684.00;
- And would have lost other 430 times – with a loss of -$430.00 because of them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$254.00.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 12.32% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 120 times – having a profit of $264.00;
- And would have lost other 880 times – with a loss of -$880.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$616.00.
Should you bet on Ross County?
🔴 Ross County: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 31.15%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.12. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 310 times – having a profit of $655.65;
- And would lose other 690 times – losing -$690.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$34.35.
Handicaps analysis for the match Livingston x Ross County
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Livingston
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Livingston x Ross County
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Livingston and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Livingston.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Livingston.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Livingston x Ross County
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves