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Home » Predictions » Others » Ljungskile x Ariana FC Betting tips for September 29 in Sweden 1.div Södra
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 10h00 Sweden 1.div Södra
Ljungskile Ljungskile
PREDICTION Ariana FC Wins Probability 58% 1 X 2
Ariana FC Ariana FC
ODD: @1.91 Don't miss this prediction!

Ljungskile x Ariana FC Betting tips for September 29 in Sweden 1.div Södra

Our betting tip for Ljungskile x Ariana FC, Sunday, 29/9/2024
📅 29/9/2024
10:00
Ljungskile Ljungskile
3.30
X
3.50
Ariana FC Ariana FC
1.91

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Ljungskile x Ariana FC:

🔮 Ariana FC wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Ariana FC, you can win up to $955.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Ljungskile x Ariana FC:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Ljungskile in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-245.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Ariana FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Ljungskile scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Ljungskile conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Ariana FC is a team that likes ball possession. In its last 3 away matches, it had at least 63.00% of possession.

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Summary

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Analysis from Ljungskile x Ariana FC for the Sweden 1.div Södra – 29 of September

🏟️ Ljungskile X Ariana FC – Sweden 1.div Södra
📅 29 of September, 2024 – 10:00
🔵 Ljungskile – Winning probability: 20.88% | Fair line: 4.79
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 20.36% | Fair line: 4.91
🔴 Ariana FC – Winning probability: 58.76% | Fair line: 1.7
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Ljungskile
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Ljungskile and Ariana FC.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1190630 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Ljungskile x Ariana FC

Should you bet on Ljungskile?

🔵 Ljungskile: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 20.88% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 210 times – profiting $483.00;
  • And would lose other 790 times – losing -$790.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$307.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 20.36% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 200 times – profiting $500.00;
  • And would lose other 800 times – having a loss of -$800.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$300.00.

Should you bet on Ariana FC?

🔴 Ariana FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 58.76% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.91. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 590 times – this would give you a profit of $536.90
  • And would lose other 410 times – losing -$410.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$126.90.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Ljungskile x Ariana FC

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Ljungskile
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Ljungskile x Ariana FC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 Ljungskile and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.5 Ljungskile.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Ljungskile x Ariana FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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