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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Llaneros x Deportes Quindio Betting tips for September 29 in Colombia Primera B
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 17h30 Colombia Primera B
Llaneros Llaneros
PREDICTION No tip
Deportes Quindio Deportes Quindio
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Llaneros x Deportes Quindio Betting tips for September 29 in Colombia Primera B

Our betting tip for Llaneros x Deportes Quindio, Sunday, 29/9/2024
πŸ“… 29/9/2024
17:30
Llaneros Llaneros
1.80
X
3.25
Deportes Quindio Deportes Quindio
4.20

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Llaneros x Deportes Quindio:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Llaneros x Deportes Quindio

Important information for your tip for Llaneros x Deportes Quindio:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Llaneros in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-71.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Deportes Quindio in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $16.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the home team, Llaneros scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team against Deportes Quindio, Llaneros scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 Deportes Quindio matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Llaneros x Deportes Quindio, with Llaneros as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ Llaneros has won all the last 5 matches playing at home against Deportes Quindio.

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Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Llaneros x Deportes Quindio?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Llaneros x Deportes Quindio, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Llaneros x Deportes Quindio for the Colombia Primera B – 29 of September

🏟️ Llaneros X Deportes Quindio – Colombia Primera B
πŸ“… 29 of September, 2024 – 17:30
πŸ”΅ Llaneros – Winning probability: 62.23% | Fair line: 1.61
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 27.11% | Fair line: 3.69
πŸ”΄ Deportes Quindio – Winning probability: 10.66% | Fair line: 9.38
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Llaneros
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 8.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Llaneros and Deportes Quindio.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1191083 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Llaneros x Deportes Quindio

Should you bet on Llaneros?

πŸ”΅ Llaneros: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 62.23% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.80. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 620 times – this would give you a profit of $496.00
  • And would lose other 380 times – losing -$380.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just πŸ’°$116.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 27.11% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 270 times – profiting $607.50;
  • And would lose other 730 times – having a loss of -$730.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$122.50.

Should you bet on Deportes Quindio?

πŸ”΄ Deportes Quindio: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 10.66% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 110 times – profiting $352.00;
  • And would have lost other 890 times – with a loss of -$890.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$538.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Llaneros x Deportes Quindio

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Llaneros
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Llaneros x Deportes Quindio

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Llaneros, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Llaneros. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Llaneros x Deportes Quindio

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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