| π
22/1/2022 14:30 |
 Llanidloes Town3.52 |
X 3.85 |
Colwyn Bay  1.75 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Llanidloes Town x Colwyn Bay:
π Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Llanidloes Town x Colwyn Bay
π Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Llanidloes Town x Colwyn Bay
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Analysis from Llanidloes Town x Colwyn Bay for the Wales Championship North – 22 of January
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ποΈ Llanidloes Town X Colwyn Bay – Wales Championship North |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Llanidloes Town and Colwyn Bay.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 290605 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Llanidloes Town x Colwyn Bay
Should you bet on Llanidloes Town?
π΅ Llanidloes Town: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 23.54%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.52. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 240 times – this would give you a profit of $604.80
- And would lose other 760 times – losing -$760.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of π°-$155.20.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
βͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 19.48%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.85. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 190 times – having a profit of $541.50;
- And would have lost other 810 times – with a loss of -$810.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of π°-$268.50.
Is it worth betting on Colwyn Bay?
π΄ Colwyn Bay: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 56.98% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 570 times – profiting $428.07;
- And would lose other 430 times – losing -$430.00 with them.
Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just π°$1.93 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.
Handicaps analysis for the match Llanidloes Town x Colwyn Bay
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
β Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Llanidloes Town
β½ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Llanidloes Town x Colwyn Bay
β Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 Llanidloes Town, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.5 Llanidloes Town. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Llanidloes Town x Colwyn Bay
β½ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.25 goals.
Our tips are also on YouTube
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Written by
Humberto Alves
Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.
> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
