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Home » Predictions » Llantwit Major x Carmarthen Betting tips for January 11 in Wales Championship South
Saturday, 11 January 2025, 14h00 Wales Championship South
Llantwit Major Llantwit Major
PREDICTION No tip
Carmarthen Carmarthen
Don't miss this prediction!

Llantwit Major x Carmarthen Betting tips for January 11 in Wales Championship South

Our betting tip for Llantwit Major x Carmarthen, Saturday, 11/1/2025
📅 11/1/2025
14:00
Llantwit Major Llantwit Major
2.15
X
3.42
Carmarthen Carmarthen
2.86

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Llantwit Major x Carmarthen:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Llantwit Major x Carmarthen

The main points for the tip for Llantwit Major x Carmarthen:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Llantwit Major in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-343.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Carmarthen in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-350.0.
👉 In the last 9 matches as the home team, Llantwit Major scored at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Llantwit Major x Carmarthen for the Wales Championship South – 11 of January

🏟️ Llantwit Major X Carmarthen – Wales Championship South
📅 11 of January, 2025 – 14:00
🔵 Llantwit Major – Winning probability: 41.48% | Fair line: 2.41
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 30.52% | Fair line: 3.28
🔴 Carmarthen – Winning probability: 28.00% | Fair line: 3.57
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Llantwit Major
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Llantwit Major and Carmarthen.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1244516 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Llantwit Major x Carmarthen

Is betting on Llantwit Major worth it?

🔵 Llantwit Major: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 41.48%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.15. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 410 times – profiting $471.50;
  • And would have lost other 590 times – with a loss of -$590.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$118.50.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 30.52% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.42. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 310 times – profiting $750.20;
  • And would lose other 690 times – having a loss of -$690.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$60.20. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Is it a good idea to bet on Carmarthen?

🔴 Carmarthen: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 28.0% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.86. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 280 times – having a profit of $520.80;
  • And would lose other 720 times – losing -$720.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$199.20.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Llantwit Major x Carmarthen

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Llantwit Major
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Llantwit Major x Carmarthen

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Llantwit Major, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Llantwit Major.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Llantwit Major x Carmarthen

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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