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Home » Predictions » Llay Miners Welfare x Gresford Ath Betting tips for January 11 in Wales Championship North
Saturday, 11 January 2025, 14h00 Wales Championship North
Llay Miners Welfare Llay Miners Welfare
PREDICTION No tip
Gresford Ath Gresford Ath
Don't miss this prediction!

Llay Miners Welfare x Gresford Ath Betting tips for January 11 in Wales Championship North

Our betting tip for Llay Miners Welfare x Gresford Ath, Saturday, 11/1/2025
📅 11/1/2025
14:00
Llay Miners Welfare Llay Miners Welfare
2.40
X
3.62
Gresford Ath Gresford Ath
2.39

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Llay Miners Welfare x Gresford Ath:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Llay Miners Welfare x Gresford Ath

Some important points for the tip for Llay Miners Welfare x Gresford Ath:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Llay Miners Welfare in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-150.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Llay Miners Welfare scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Llay Miners Welfare conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Llay Miners Welfare x Gresford Ath for the Wales Championship North – 11 of January

🏟️ Llay Miners Welfare X Gresford Ath – Wales Championship North
📅 11 of January, 2025 – 14:00
🔵 Llay Miners Welfare – Winning probability: 40.91% | Fair line: 2.44
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 23.15% | Fair line: 4.32
🔴 Gresford Ath – Winning probability: 35.94% | Fair line: 2.78
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Llay Miners Welfare
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Llay Miners Welfare x Gresford Ath right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1244516 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Llay Miners Welfare x Gresford Ath

Should you bet on Llay Miners Welfare?

🔵 Llay Miners Welfare: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 40.91% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 410 times – this would give you a profit of $574.00
  • And would lose other 590 times – having a loss of -$590.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$16.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 23.15% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.62. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 230 times – profiting $602.60;
  • And would lose other 770 times – losing -$770.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$167.40.

Is it a good idea to bet on Gresford Ath?

🔴 Gresford Ath: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 35.94% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.39. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 360 times – having a profit of $500.40;
  • And would lose other 640 times – having a loss of -$640.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$139.60.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Llay Miners Welfare x Gresford Ath

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Llay Miners Welfare
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Llay Miners Welfare x Gresford Ath

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Llay Miners Welfare, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Llay Miners Welfare.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Llay Miners Welfare.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Llay Miners Welfare x Gresford Ath

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.25 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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