Lleida x Sabadell Betting tips for September 29 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3

Our betting tip for Lleida x Sabadell, Sunday, 29/9/2024

📅 29/9/2024 13:00

Lleida 2.20

X 3.00

Sabadell 3.00

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Lleida x Sabadell:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Lleida x Sabadell

Some important points for the tip for Lleida x Sabadell: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Lleida in each of its last 4 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-105.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Sabadell in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-120.0. 👉 In the last 5 road matches, Sabadell has not lost any of them. 👉 Lleida has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Sabadell playing at home.

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Lleida x Sabadell?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Lleida x Sabadell:

Analysis from Lleida x Sabadell for the Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3 – 29 of September

When the best bet on Lleida x Sabadell is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1190630 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Lleida x Sabadell

Is it a good idea to bet on Lleida?

🔵 Lleida: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 46.27%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 460 times – profiting $552.00;
• And would lose other 540 times – having a loss of -$540.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$12.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 31.5%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 310 times – this would give you a profit of $620.00
• And would lose other 690 times – having a loss of -$690.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$70.00.

Is it worth betting on Sabadell?

🔴 Sabadell: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 22.23% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 220 times – this would give you a profit of $440.00
• And would lose other 780 times – having a loss of -$780.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$340.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Lleida x Sabadell

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Lleida
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Lleida x Sabadell

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Lleida, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Lleida.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Sabadell.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Lleida x Sabadell

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.