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Home » Predictions » Others » Lleida x UE Sant Andreu Betting tips for February 2 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3
Sunday, 02 February 2025, 16h00 Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3
Lleida Lleida
PREDICTION Lleida wins Probability 53% 1 X 2
UE Sant Andreu UE Sant Andreu
ODD: @1.85 Don't miss this prediction!

Lleida x UE Sant Andreu Betting tips for February 2 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3

Our betting tip for Lleida x UE Sant Andreu, Sunday, 2/2/2025
📅 2/2/2025
16:00
Lleida Lleida
1.85
X
3.10
UE Sant Andreu UE Sant Andreu
3.90

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Lleida x UE Sant Andreu:

🔮 Lleida wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Lleida, you can win up to $925.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Lleida x UE Sant Andreu:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Lleida in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-358.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on UE Sant Andreu in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $140.0.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Lleida scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, UE Sant Andreu scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Lleida matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 Playing as the home team, Lleida conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against UE Sant Andreu.
👉 In the last 3 road matches, UE Sant Andreu has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from Lleida x UE Sant Andreu for the Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3 – 2 of February

🏟️ Lleida X UE Sant Andreu – Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3
📅 2 of February, 2025 – 16:00
🔵 Lleida – Winning probability: 53.73% | Fair line: 1.86
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 30.43% | Fair line: 3.29
🔴 UE Sant Andreu – Winning probability: 15.84% | Fair line: 6.31
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Lleida
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Lleida x UE Sant Andreu is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1255121 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Lleida x UE Sant Andreu

Is it a good idea to bet on Lleida?

🔵 Lleida: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 53.73% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.85. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 540 times – having a profit of $459.00;
  • And would lose other 460 times – losing -$460.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$1.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 30.43%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 300 times – having a profit of $630.00;
  • And would lose other 700 times – having a loss of -$700.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$70.00.

Is betting on UE Sant Andreu worth it?

🔴 UE Sant Andreu: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 15.84% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 160 times – this would give you a profit of $464.00
  • And would lose other 840 times – losing -$840.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$376.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Lleida x UE Sant Andreu

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Lleida
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Lleida x UE Sant Andreu

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Lleida, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Lleida.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Lleida.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Lleida x UE Sant Andreu

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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