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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Lleida x Valencia B Betting tips for April 13 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3
Sunday, 13 April 2025, 16h00 Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3
Lleida Lleida
PREDICTION Lleida wins Probability 54% 1 X 2
Valencia B Valencia B
ODD: @2.08 Don't miss this prediction!

Lleida x Valencia B Betting tips for April 13 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3

Our betting tip for Lleida x Valencia B, Sunday, 13/4/2025
๐Ÿ“… 13/4/2025
16:00
Lleida Lleida
2.08
X
2.94
Valencia B Valencia B
3.57

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Lleida x Valencia B:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Lleida wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Lleida, you can win up to $1040.00!

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The main points for the tip for Lleida x Valencia B:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Lleida in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Lleida did not score any goals in the last 4 matches as home team.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team against Valencia B, Lleida scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Lleida x Valencia B, with Lleida as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Playing as the home team, Lleida conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Valencia B.

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Summary

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Analysis from Lleida x Valencia B for the Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3 – 13 of April

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Lleida X Valencia B – Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3
๐Ÿ“… 13 of April, 2025 – 16:00
๐Ÿ”ต Lleida – Winning probability: 54.35% | Fair line: 1.84
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 28.08% | Fair line: 3.56
๐Ÿ”ด Valencia B – Winning probability: 17.57% | Fair line: 5.69
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Lleida
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Lleida x Valencia B right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1302187 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Lleida x Valencia B

Is it a good idea to bet on Lleida?

๐Ÿ”ต Lleida: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 54.35%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.08. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 540 times – profiting $583.20;
  • And would have lost other 460 times – with a loss of -$460.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$123.20.

Should you bet on draw?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 28.08%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.94. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 280 times – this would give you a profit of $543.20
  • And would lose other 720 times – losing -$720.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$176.80.

Is betting on Valencia B worth it?

๐Ÿ”ด Valencia B: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 17.57%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.57. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 180 times – profiting $462.60;
  • And would lose other 820 times – losing -$820.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$357.40.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Lleida x Valencia B

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Lleida
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Lleida x Valencia B

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Lleida and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Lleida.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Lleida.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Lleida x Valencia B

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 1.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 1.75 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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