Lobos UPNFM x CD Victoria Betting tips for February 4 in Honduras Liga Nacional
📅 4/2/2025 01:00 |
![]() 2.38 |
X 3.20 |
CD Victoria ![]() 2.62 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Lobos UPNFM x CD Victoria:
👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Lobos UPNFM x CD Victoria
The main points for the tip for Lobos UPNFM x CD Victoria: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Lobos UPNFM in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-285.0. |

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Analysis from Lobos UPNFM x CD Victoria for the Honduras Liga Nacional – 4 of February
🏟️ Lobos UPNFM X CD Victoria – Honduras Liga Nacional |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Lobos UPNFM and CD Victoria.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1256513 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Lobos UPNFM x CD Victoria
Is it a good idea to bet on Lobos UPNFM?
🔵 Lobos UPNFM: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 40.25% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.38. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 400 times – this would give you a profit of $552.00
- And would lose other 600 times – losing -$600.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$48.00.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 26.39%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 260 times – profiting $572.00;
- And would have lost other 740 times – with a loss of -$740.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$168.00.
Is it worth betting on CD Victoria?
🔴 CD Victoria: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 33.36% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.62. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 330 times – profiting $534.60;
- And would have lost other 670 times – with a loss of -$670.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$135.40.
Handicaps analysis for the match Lobos UPNFM x CD Victoria
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Lobos UPNFM
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Lobos UPNFM x CD Victoria
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Lobos UPNFM and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Lobos UPNFM.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 CD Victoria.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Lobos UPNFM x CD Victoria
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.