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19/1/2022 23:00 |
 Lobos UPNFM2.48 |
X 2.95 |
CD Vida  2.75 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Lobos UPNFM x CD Vida:
๐ฎ CD Vida wins the match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on CD Vida, you can win up to $1375.00!
๐ Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for Lobos UPNFM x CD Vida
Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Lobos UPNFM x CD Vida?
If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best bookies from 2022, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Lobos UPNFM x CD Vida:
Analysis from Lobos UPNFM x CD Vida for the Honduras Liga Nacional – 19 of January
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๐๏ธ Lobos UPNFM X CD Vida – Honduras Liga Nacional |
When the best bet on Lobos UPNFM x CD Vida is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 289909 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Lobos UPNFM x CD Vida
Is it a good idea to bet on Lobos UPNFM?
๐ต Lobos UPNFM: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 34.99%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.48. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 350 times – profiting $518.00;
- And would have lost other 650 times – with a loss of -$650.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐ฐ-$132.00.
Should you bet on draw?
โช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 23.93% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.95. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 240 times – profiting $468.00;
- And would lose other 760 times – losing -$760.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐ฐ-$292.00.
Is betting on CD Vida worth it?
๐ด CD Vida: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 41.08% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 410 times – this would give you a profit of $717.50
- And would lose other 590 times – losing -$590.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐ฐ$127.50.
Handicaps analysis for the match Lobos UPNFM x CD Vida
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
โ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Lobos UPNFM
โฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Lobos UPNFM x CD Vida
โ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Lobos UPNFM, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Lobos UPNFM.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Lobos UPNFM x CD Vida
โฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
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Written by
Humberto Alves
Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.
> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
