📊 Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for Lommel Reserves x Excelsior Virton Reserves
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Analysis from Lommel Reserves x Excelsior Virton Reserves for the Belgium Reserve League – 17 of January
🏟️ Lommel Reserves X Excelsior Virton Reserves – Belgium Reserve League
When the best bet on Lommel Reserves x Excelsior Virton Reserves is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 288856 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Lommel Reserves x Excelsior Virton Reserves
Is betting on Lommel Reserves worth it?
🔵 Lommel Reserves: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 10.18%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 100 times – having a profit of $200.00;
- And would have lost other 900 times – with a loss of -$900.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$700.00.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 10.2% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 100 times – profiting $280.00;
- And would lose other 900 times – having a loss of -$900.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$620.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on Excelsior Virton Reserves?
🔴 Excelsior Virton Reserves: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 79.62% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.95. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 800 times – having a profit of $760.00;
- And would have lost other 200 times – with a loss of -$200.00 because of them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$560.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Lommel Reserves x Excelsior Virton Reserves
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.0 Lommel Reserves
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Lommel Reserves x Excelsior Virton Reserves
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +1.0 Lommel Reserves, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.5 Lommel Reserves.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Excelsior Virton Reserves.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Lommel Reserves x Excelsior Virton Reserves
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.50 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.50 goals.
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves