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Home » Predictions » Others » Londrina x Azuriz FC Betting tips for February 5 in Brazil Campeonato Paranaense
Wednesday, 05 February 2025, 23h00 Brazil Campeonato Paranaense
Londrina Londrina
PREDICTION Londrina wins Probability 57% 1 X 2
Azuriz FC Azuriz FC
ODD: @1.84 Don't miss this prediction!

Londrina x Azuriz FC Betting tips for February 5 in Brazil Campeonato Paranaense

Our betting tip for Londrina x Azuriz FC, Wednesday, 5/2/2025
📅 5/2/2025
23:00
Londrina Londrina
1.84
X
3.20
Azuriz FC Azuriz FC
4.00

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Londrina x Azuriz FC:

🔮 Londrina wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Londrina, you can win up to $920.00!

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The main points for the tip for Londrina x Azuriz FC:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Londrina in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $150.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Azuriz FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-225.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Londrina scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Azuriz FC, Londrina scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Azuriz FC conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Londrina conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Azuriz FC.
👉 Londrina has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Azuriz FC playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Londrina x Azuriz FC for the Brazil Campeonato Paranaense – 5 of February

🏟️ Londrina X Azuriz FC – Brazil Campeonato Paranaense
📅 5 of February, 2025 – 23:00
🔵 Londrina – Winning probability: 57.65% | Fair line: 1.73
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 27.55% | Fair line: 3.63
🔴 Azuriz FC – Winning probability: 14.80% | Fair line: 6.76
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Londrina
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Londrina x Azuriz FC is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1257906 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Londrina x Azuriz FC

Is it worth betting on Londrina?

🔵 Londrina: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 57.65% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.84. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 580 times – profiting $487.20;
  • And would lose other 420 times – losing -$420.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$67.20.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 27.55%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 280 times – profiting $616.00;
  • And would lose other 720 times – losing -$720.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$104.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Azuriz FC?

🔴 Azuriz FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 14.8% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 150 times – this would give you a profit of $450.00
  • And would have lost other 850 times – with a loss of -$850.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$400.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Londrina x Azuriz FC

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Londrina
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Londrina x Azuriz FC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Londrina and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Londrina.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Londrina x Azuriz FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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