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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Londrina x Ferroviaria SP Betting tips for September 29 in Brazil Serie C
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 18h30 Brazil Serie C
Londrina Londrina
PREDICTION No tip
Ferroviaria SP Ferroviaria SP
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Londrina x Ferroviaria SP Betting tips for September 29 in Brazil Serie C

Our betting tip for Londrina x Ferroviaria SP, Sunday, 29/9/2024
πŸ“… 29/9/2024
18:30
Londrina Londrina
2.30
X
2.88
Ferroviaria SP Ferroviaria SP
3.06

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Londrina x Ferroviaria SP:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Londrina x Ferroviaria SP

The main points for the tip for Londrina x Ferroviaria SP:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Londrina in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-118.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Ferroviaria SP in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-180.0.
πŸ‘‰ Ferroviaria SP did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as away team.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, Londrina scored at least 2 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 Londrina matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, Londrina conceded at least 2 goal(s).

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Summary

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Londrina x Ferroviaria SP?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Londrina x Ferroviaria SP, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Londrina x Ferroviaria SP for the Brazil Serie C – 29 of September

🏟️ Londrina X Ferroviaria SP – Brazil Serie C
πŸ“… 29 of September, 2024 – 18:30
πŸ”΅ Londrina – Winning probability: 34.52% | Fair line: 2.9
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 32.44% | Fair line: 3.08
πŸ”΄ Ferroviaria SP – Winning probability: 33.05% | Fair line: 3.03
βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Londrina
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Londrina and Ferroviaria SP.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1191083 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Londrina x Ferroviaria SP

Is betting on Londrina worth it?

πŸ”΅ Londrina: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 34.52%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 350 times – profiting $455.00;
  • And would lose other 650 times – having a loss of -$650.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$195.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

βšͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 32.44%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.88. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 320 times – this would give you a profit of $601.60
  • And would lose other 680 times – having a loss of -$680.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$78.40.

Is betting on Ferroviaria SP worth it?

πŸ”΄ Ferroviaria SP: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 33.05% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.06. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 330 times – profiting $679.80;
  • And would lose other 670 times – losing -$670.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$9.80.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Londrina x Ferroviaria SP

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Londrina
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Londrina x Ferroviaria SP

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Londrina, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Londrina.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Ferroviaria SP.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Londrina x Ferroviaria SP

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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