Longford Town x UCD Betting tips for April 12 in Republic of Ireland First Division

Our betting tip for Longford Town x UCD, Saturday, 12/4/2025

📅 12/4/2025 18:30

Longford Town 3.70

X 3.25

UCD 1.95

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Longford Town x UCD:

🔮 UCD wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on UCD, you can win up to $975.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Some important points for the tip for Longford Town x UCD: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Longford Town in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $185.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on UCD in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-70.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Longford Town scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against UCD, Longford Town scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Longford Town x UCD, with Longford Town as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 Playing as the home team, Longford Town conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against UCD.

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Analysis from Longford Town x UCD for the Republic of Ireland First Division – 12 of April

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Longford Town and UCD.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1301554 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Longford Town x UCD

Should you bet on Longford Town?

🔵 Longford Town: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 20.09% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.70. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 200 times – this would give you a profit of $540.00
• And would lose other 800 times – having a loss of -$800.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$260.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 21.92% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 220 times – having a profit of $495.00;
• And would lose other 780 times – losing -$780.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$285.00.

Is betting on UCD worth it?

🔴 UCD: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 57.99%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.95. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 580 times – profiting $551.00;
• And would lose other 420 times – losing -$420.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$131.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Longford Town x UCD

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Longford Town
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Longford Town x UCD

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Longford Town, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.5 Longford Town.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.5 Longford Town.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Longford Town x UCD

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.