Lorient x Metz Betting tips for January 11 in France Ligue 2

Our betting tip for Lorient x Metz, Saturday, 11/1/2025

📅 11/1/2025 19:00

Lorient 1.93

X 3.42

Metz 3.75

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Lorient x Metz:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Lorient x Metz

Important information for your tip for Lorient x Metz: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Lorient in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $304.0. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Lorient scored at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Metz, Lorient scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Lorient is good playing home: it has 6 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Lorient x Metz?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Lorient x Metz, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Lorient x Metz for the France Ligue 2 – 11 of January

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Lorient and Metz.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1244516 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Lorient x Metz

Is it worth betting on Lorient?

🔵 Lorient: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 52.51% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.93. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 530 times – this would give you a profit of $492.90
• And would lose other 470 times – losing -$470.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$22.90 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 28.87% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.42. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 290 times – having a profit of $701.80;
• And would lose other 710 times – having a loss of -$710.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$8.20 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is betting on Metz worth it?

🔴 Metz: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 18.62%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 190 times – this would give you a profit of $522.50
• And would lose other 810 times – having a loss of -$810.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$287.50.

Handicaps analysis for the match Lorient x Metz

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Lorient
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Lorient x Metz

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Lorient and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Lorient. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Lorient x Metz

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.50 goals.