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Home » Predictions » Others » Louletano DC x Estrela de Vendas Novas Betting tips for January 12 in Portugal Campeonato Nacional
Sunday, 12 January 2025, 18h00 Portugal Campeonato Nacional
Louletano DC Louletano DC
PREDICTION Louletano DC wins Probability 98% 1 X 2
Estrela de Vendas Novas Estrela de Vendas Novas
ODD: @1.11 Don't miss this prediction!

Louletano DC x Estrela de Vendas Novas Betting tips for January 12 in Portugal Campeonato Nacional

Our betting tip for Louletano DC x Estrela de Vendas Novas, Sunday, 12/1/2025
📅 12/1/2025
18:00
Louletano DC Louletano DC
1.11
X
7.20
Estrela de Vendas Novas Estrela de Vendas Novas
17.00

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Louletano DC x Estrela de Vendas Novas:

🔮 Louletano DC wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Louletano DC, you can win up to $555.00!

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Important information for your tip for Louletano DC x Estrela de Vendas Novas:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Louletano DC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-204.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Estrela de Vendas Novas in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Louletano DC scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Louletano DC matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Estrela de Vendas Novas conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 It is not a good time for Estrela de Vendas Novas as away team: it comes from 6 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from Louletano DC x Estrela de Vendas Novas for the Portugal Campeonato Nacional – 12 of January

🏟️ Louletano DC X Estrela de Vendas Novas – Portugal Campeonato Nacional
📅 12 of January, 2025 – 18:00
🔵 Louletano DC – Winning probability: 98.81% | Fair line: 1.01
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 1.10% | Fair line: 90.59
🔴 Estrela de Vendas Novas – Winning probability: 0.08% | Fair line: 1215.84
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -2.25 Louletano DC
⚽ Expected goals: 3.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Louletano DC x Estrela de Vendas Novas right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1244844 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Louletano DC x Estrela de Vendas Novas

Is it a good idea to bet on Louletano DC?

🔵 Louletano DC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 98.81% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.11. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 990 times – this would give you a profit of $108.90
  • And would have lost other 10 times – with a loss of -$10.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$98.90.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 1.1%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 7.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 10 times – this would give you a profit of $62.00
  • And would lose other 990 times – having a loss of -$990.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$928.00.

Is it worth betting on Estrela de Vendas Novas?

🔴 Estrela de Vendas Novas: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 0.08% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 17.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 0 times – having a profit of $0.00;
  • And would lose other 1000 times – having a loss of -$1000.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$1000.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Louletano DC x Estrela de Vendas Novas

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -2.25 Louletano DC
⚽ Expected goals: 3.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Louletano DC x Estrela de Vendas Novas

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -2.25 Louletano DC and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -2.0 Louletano DC.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -2.0 Louletano DC.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Louletano DC x Estrela de Vendas Novas

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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