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16/1/2022 15:00 |
 Louletano DC1.42 |
X 3.97 |
FC Barreirense  6.62 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Louletano DC x FC Barreirense:
๐ฎ Louletano DC wins the match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Louletano DC, you can win up to $709.00!
๐ Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for Louletano DC x FC Barreirense
Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Louletano DC x FC Barreirense?
If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Louletano DC x FC Barreirense, no problem. Right below you have the bookies that we used the most in 2022. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:
Analysis from Louletano DC x FC Barreirense for the Portugal Campeonato Nacional – 16 of January
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๐๏ธ Louletano DC X FC Barreirense – Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Louletano DC x FC Barreirense right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 288046 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Louletano DC x FC Barreirense
Is betting on Louletano DC worth it?
๐ต Louletano DC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 79.76% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.42. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 800 times – profiting $334.40;
- And would have lost other 200 times – with a loss of -$200.00 because of them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐ฐ$134.40.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
โช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 11.99%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.97. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 120 times – this would give you a profit of $356.22
- And would lose other 880 times – losing -$880.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐ฐ-$523.78.
Is betting on FC Barreirense worth it?
๐ด FC Barreirense: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 8.25% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 6.62. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 80 times – this would give you a profit of $449.92
- And would lose other 920 times – losing -$920.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$470.08.
Handicaps analysis for the match Louletano DC x FC Barreirense
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
โ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Louletano DC
โฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Louletano DC x FC Barreirense
โ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.25 Louletano DC, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 Louletano DC.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 Louletano DC.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Louletano DC x FC Barreirense
โฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
You can check out our tips on YouTube
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Written by
Humberto Alves
Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.
> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
