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Home » Predictions » Others » Lowestoft Town x AFC Sudbury Betting tips for February 4 in England Southern Premier League Central
Tuesday, 04 February 2025, 19h45 England Southern Premier League Central
Lowestoft Town Lowestoft Town
PREDICTION No tip
AFC Sudbury AFC Sudbury
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Lowestoft Town x AFC Sudbury Betting tips for February 4 in England Southern Premier League Central

Our betting tip for Lowestoft Town x AFC Sudbury, Tuesday, 4/2/2025
📅 4/2/2025
19:45
Lowestoft Town Lowestoft Town
2.60
X
3.47
AFC Sudbury AFC Sudbury
2.30

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Lowestoft Town x AFC Sudbury:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Lowestoft Town x AFC Sudbury

Some important points for the tip for Lowestoft Town x AFC Sudbury:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Lowestoft Town in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-230.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on AFC Sudbury in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 AFC Sudbury did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as away team.
👉 In the last 4 Lowestoft Town matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Lowestoft Town conceded at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, AFC Sudbury conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 It is not a good time for Lowestoft Town as home team: it comes from 4 losses in a row in its last home matches.
👉 It is not a good time for AFC Sudbury as away team: it comes from 6 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from Lowestoft Town x AFC Sudbury for the England Southern Premier League Central – 4 of February

🏟️ Lowestoft Town X AFC Sudbury – England Southern Premier League Central
📅 4 of February, 2025 – 19:45
🔵 Lowestoft Town – Winning probability: 42.38% | Fair line: 2.36
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 23.35% | Fair line: 4.28
🔴 AFC Sudbury – Winning probability: 34.27% | Fair line: 2.92
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Lowestoft Town
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Lowestoft Town x AFC Sudbury is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1256585 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Lowestoft Town x AFC Sudbury

Is it a good idea to bet on Lowestoft Town?

🔵 Lowestoft Town: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 42.38% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 420 times – this would give you a profit of $672.00
  • And would lose other 580 times – losing -$580.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$92.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 23.35% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.47. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 230 times – profiting $568.10;
  • And would lose other 770 times – losing -$770.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$201.90.

Should you bet on AFC Sudbury?

🔴 AFC Sudbury: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 34.27%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 340 times – profiting $442.00;
  • And would lose other 660 times – losing -$660.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$218.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Lowestoft Town x AFC Sudbury

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Lowestoft Town
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Lowestoft Town x AFC Sudbury

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Lowestoft Town, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Lowestoft Town.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Lowestoft Town x AFC Sudbury

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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