Lucchese x Spal Betting tips for January 10 in Italy Serie C Group B

Our betting tip for Lucchese x Spal, Friday, 10/1/2025

📅 10/1/2025 19:30

Lucchese 2.45

X 3.18

Spal 2.65

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Lucchese x Spal:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Lucchese x Spal

The main points for the tip for Lucchese x Spal: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Lucchese in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-280.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Spal in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-320.0. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Spal scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Spal, Lucchese scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Lucchese conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Spal conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Lucchese has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Spal playing at home.

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Analysis from Lucchese x Spal for the Italy Serie C Group B – 10 of January

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Lucchese and Spal.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1244129 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Lucchese x Spal

Should you bet on Lucchese?

🔵 Lucchese: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 37.06%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.45. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 370 times – this would give you a profit of $536.50
• And would have lost other 630 times – with a loss of -$630.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$93.50.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 33.29% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.18. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 330 times – this would give you a profit of $719.40
• And would lose other 670 times – having a loss of -$670.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$49.40.

Is it worth betting on Spal?

🔴 Spal: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 29.65% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.65. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 300 times – this would give you a profit of $495.00
• And would lose other 700 times – losing -$700.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$205.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Lucchese x Spal

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Lucchese
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Lucchese x Spal

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Lucchese, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Lucchese.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Lucchese x Spal

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.