Lucerne x Basel Betting tips for September 29 in Switzerland Super League

Our betting tip for Lucerne x Basel, Sunday, 29/9/2024

📅 29/9/2024 11:30

Lucerne 2.50

X 3.50

Basel 2.55

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Lucerne x Basel:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Lucerne x Basel

The main points for the tip for Lucerne x Basel: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Lucerne in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-123.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Lucerne scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Lucerne x Basel, with Lucerne as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 Playing as the home team, Lucerne conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Basel.

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Analysis from Lucerne x Basel for the Switzerland Super League – 29 of September

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Lucerne and Basel.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1190630 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Lucerne x Basel

Is it a good idea to bet on Lucerne?

🔵 Lucerne: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 37.84%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 380 times – having a profit of $570.00;
• And would lose other 620 times – having a loss of -$620.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$50.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 27.61%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 280 times – having a profit of $700.00;
• And would lose other 720 times – having a loss of -$720.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$20.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Basel?

🔴 Basel: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 34.55%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.55. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 350 times – having a profit of $542.50;
• And would have lost other 650 times – with a loss of -$650.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$107.50.

Handicaps analysis for the match Lucerne x Basel

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Lucerne
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Lucerne x Basel

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Lucerne, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Lucerne.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Lucerne x Basel

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.