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Home » Predictions » Others » Ludogorets Razgrad x Botev Vratsa Betting tips for March 15 in Bulgaria First League
Saturday, 15 March 2025, 13h00 Bulgaria First League
Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad
PREDICTION Ludogorets Razgrad wins Probability 99% 1 X 2
Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa
ODD: @1.08 Don't miss this prediction!

Ludogorets Razgrad x Botev Vratsa Betting tips for March 15 in Bulgaria First League

Our betting tip for Ludogorets Razgrad x Botev Vratsa, Saturday, 15/3/2025
📅 15/3/2025
13:00
Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad
1.08
X
8.55
Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa
21.68

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Ludogorets Razgrad x Botev Vratsa:

🔮 Ludogorets Razgrad wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Ludogorets Razgrad, you can win up to $540.00!

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Important information for your tip for Ludogorets Razgrad x Botev Vratsa:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Ludogorets Razgrad in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-375.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Botev Vratsa in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-360.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Botev Vratsa, Ludogorets Razgrad scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Botev Vratsa conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Ludogorets Razgrad has won all the last 5 matches playing at home against Botev Vratsa.

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Summary

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Analysis from Ludogorets Razgrad x Botev Vratsa for the Bulgaria First League – 15 of March

🏟️ Ludogorets Razgrad X Botev Vratsa – Bulgaria First League
📅 15 of March, 2025 – 13:00
🔵 Ludogorets Razgrad – Winning probability: 99.65% | Fair line: 1.0
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 0.35% | Fair line: 289.77
🔴 Botev Vratsa – Winning probability: 0.01% | Fair line: 10599.17
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -3.25 Ludogorets Razgrad
⚽ Expected goals: 3.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Ludogorets Razgrad and Botev Vratsa.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1281364 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Ludogorets Razgrad x Botev Vratsa

Is it a good idea to bet on Ludogorets Razgrad?

🔵 Ludogorets Razgrad: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 99.65% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.08. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 1000 times – profiting $80.00;
  • And would lose other 0 times – having a loss of -$0.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$80.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 0.35% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 8.55. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 0 times – having a profit of $0.00;
  • And would have lost other 1000 times – with a loss of -$1000.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$1000.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Botev Vratsa?

🔴 Botev Vratsa: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 0.01%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 21.68. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 0 times – having a profit of $0.00;
  • And would have lost other 1000 times – with a loss of -$1000.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$1000.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Ludogorets Razgrad x Botev Vratsa

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -3.25 Ludogorets Razgrad
⚽ Expected goals: 3.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Ludogorets Razgrad x Botev Vratsa

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -3.25 Ludogorets Razgrad and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -2.5 Ludogorets Razgrad.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -2.5 Ludogorets Razgrad.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Ludogorets Razgrad x Botev Vratsa

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.25 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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