Lugano x HJK Helsinki Betting tips for October 3 in UEFA Conference League
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3/10/2024 16:00 |
 Lugano1.47 |
X 4.36 |
HJK Helsinki  5.85 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Lugano x HJK Helsinki:
๐ฎ HJK Helsinki wins the match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on HJK Helsinki, you can win up to $2925.00!
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The main points for the tip for Lugano x HJK Helsinki: ๐ If you had bet $100 on Lugano in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-358.0. |
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Analysis from Lugano x HJK Helsinki for the UEFA Conference League – 3 of October
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๐๏ธ Lugano X HJK Helsinki – UEFA Conference League |
When the best bet on Lugano x HJK Helsinki is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1194241 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Lugano x HJK Helsinki
Is it a good idea to bet on Lugano?
๐ต Lugano: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 8.43%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.47. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 80 times – profiting $37.60;
- And would have lost other 920 times – with a loss of -$920.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐ฐ-$882.40.
Is betting on draw worth it?
โช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 6.35% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.36. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 60 times – having a profit of $201.60;
- And would have lost other 940 times – with a loss of -$940.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐ฐ-$738.40.
Is it worth betting on HJK Helsinki?
๐ด HJK Helsinki: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 85.23%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.85. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 850 times – profiting $4122.50;
- And would have lost other 150 times – with a loss of -$150.00 because of them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐ฐ$3972.50.
Handicaps analysis for the match Lugano x HJK Helsinki
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
โ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Lugano
โฝ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Lugano x HJK Helsinki
โ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Lugano, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.25 Lugano.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.25 HJK Helsinki.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Lugano x HJK Helsinki
โฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.
