Lugo x Real Unión Betting tips for December 1 in Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1

Our betting tip for Lugo x Real Unión, Sunday, 1/12/2024

📅 1/12/2024 14:30

Lugo 1.88

X 3.10

Real Unión 4.00

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Lugo x Real Unión:

🔮 Lugo wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Lugo, you can win up to $940.00!

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Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

The main points for the tip for Lugo x Real Unión: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Lugo in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-65.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Real Unión in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Lugo scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Lugo matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 Real Unión matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Real Unión conceded at least 2 goal(s). 👉 It is not a good time for Real Unión as away team: it comes from 4 losses in a row in its last away matches.

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Lugo x Real Unión?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Lugo x Real Unión, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Lugo x Real Unión for the Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 – 1 of December

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Lugo and Real Unión.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1230121 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Lugo x Real Unión

Is betting on Lugo worth it?

🔵 Lugo: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 68.1% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.88. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 680 times – profiting $598.40;
• And would lose other 320 times – having a loss of -$320.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$278.40.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 20.47% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 200 times – profiting $420.00;
• And would lose other 800 times – having a loss of -$800.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$380.00.

Should you bet on Real Unión?

🔴 Real Unión: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 11.43% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 110 times – this would give you a profit of $330.00
• And would lose other 890 times – having a loss of -$890.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$560.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Lugo x Real Unión

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Lugo
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Lugo x Real Unión

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Lugo and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Lugo.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Lugo x Real Unión

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.