Lujan x Juventud Unida San Miguel Betting tips for September 30 in Argentina Primera C Metropolitana
| 📅 30/9/2024 15:00 |
 Lujan2.25 |
X 3.00 |
Juventud Unida San Miguel  3.07 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Lujan x Juventud Unida San Miguel:
🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1500.00!
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Important information for your tip for Lujan x Juventud Unida San Miguel: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Lujan in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-327.0. |
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Analysis from Lujan x Juventud Unida San Miguel for the Argentina Primera C Metropolitana – 30 of September
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🏟️ Lujan X Juventud Unida San Miguel – Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Lujan x Juventud Unida San Miguel right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1191189 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Lujan x Juventud Unida San Miguel
Should you bet on Lujan?
🔵 Lujan: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 38.72% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.25. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 390 times – having a profit of $487.50;
- And would lose other 610 times – losing -$610.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$122.50.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 35.56%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 360 times – having a profit of $720.00;
- And would lose other 640 times – having a loss of -$640.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$80.00.
Should you bet on Juventud Unida San Miguel?
🔴 Juventud Unida San Miguel: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 25.72% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.07. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 260 times – having a profit of $538.20;
- And would lose other 740 times – losing -$740.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$201.80.
Handicaps analysis for the match Lujan x Juventud Unida San Miguel
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Lujan
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Lujan x Juventud Unida San Miguel
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Lujan, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Lujan.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Juventud Unida San Miguel.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Lujan x Juventud Unida San Miguel
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.
