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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Lumezzane x US Pergolettese Betting tips for October 29 in Italy Serie C Group A
Tuesday, 29 October 2024, 19h45 Italy Serie C Group A
Lumezzane Lumezzane
PREDICTION No tip
US Pergolettese US Pergolettese
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Lumezzane x US Pergolettese Betting tips for October 29 in Italy Serie C Group A

Our betting tip for Lumezzane x US Pergolettese, Tuesday, 29/10/2024
πŸ“… 29/10/2024
19:45
Lumezzane Lumezzane
1.99
X
3.21
US Pergolettese US Pergolettese
3.44

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Lumezzane x US Pergolettese:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Lumezzane x US Pergolettese

Some important points for the tip for Lumezzane x US Pergolettese:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Lumezzane in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $255.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on US Pergolettese in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the away team, US Pergolettese conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ It is not a good time for US Pergolettese as away team: it comes from 6 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from Lumezzane x US Pergolettese for the Italy Serie C Group A – 29 of October

🏟️ Lumezzane X US Pergolettese – Italy Serie C Group A
πŸ“… 29 of October, 2024 – 19:45
πŸ”΅ Lumezzane – Winning probability: 48.65% | Fair line: 2.06
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 25.38% | Fair line: 3.94
πŸ”΄ US Pergolettese – Winning probability: 25.97% | Fair line: 3.85
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Lumezzane
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Lumezzane and US Pergolettese.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1211436 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Lumezzane x US Pergolettese

Is it a good idea to bet on Lumezzane?

πŸ”΅ Lumezzane: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 48.65%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.99. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 490 times – this would give you a profit of $485.10
  • And would lose other 510 times – losing -$510.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$24.90.

Is betting on draw worth it?

βšͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 25.38%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.21. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 250 times – this would give you a profit of $552.50
  • And would have lost other 750 times – with a loss of -$750.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$197.50.

Should you bet on US Pergolettese?

πŸ”΄ US Pergolettese: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 25.97%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.44. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 260 times – having a profit of $634.40;
  • And would have lost other 740 times – with a loss of -$740.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$105.60.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Lumezzane x US Pergolettese

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Lumezzane
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Lumezzane x US Pergolettese

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Lumezzane, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Lumezzane.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 US Pergolettese.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Lumezzane x US Pergolettese

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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