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Home » Predictions » Others » Lusitano GC Evora x Comercio Industria Betting tips for November 30 in Portugal Campeonato Nacional
Saturday, 30 November 2024, 15h00 Portugal Campeonato Nacional
Lusitano GC Evora Lusitano GC Evora
PREDICTION Lusitano GC Evora wins Probability 84% 1 X 2
Comercio Industria Comercio Industria
ODD: @1.34 Don't miss this prediction!

Lusitano GC Evora x Comercio Industria Betting tips for November 30 in Portugal Campeonato Nacional

Our betting tip for Lusitano GC Evora x Comercio Industria, Saturday, 30/11/2024
📅 30/11/2024
15:00
Lusitano GC Evora Lusitano GC Evora
1.34
X
4.38
Comercio Industria Comercio Industria
7.82

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Lusitano GC Evora x Comercio Industria:

🔮 Lusitano GC Evora wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Lusitano GC Evora, you can win up to $670.00!

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The main points for the tip for Lusitano GC Evora x Comercio Industria:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Lusitano GC Evora in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $397.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Comercio Industria in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-240.0.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Comercio Industria conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Lusitano GC Evora x Comercio Industria for the Portugal Campeonato Nacional – 30 of November

🏟️ Lusitano GC Evora X Comercio Industria – Portugal Campeonato Nacional
📅 30 of November, 2024 – 15:00
🔵 Lusitano GC Evora – Winning probability: 84.42% | Fair line: 1.18
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 12.92% | Fair line: 7.74
🔴 Comercio Industria – Winning probability: 2.66% | Fair line: 37.53
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Lusitano GC Evora
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Lusitano GC Evora and Comercio Industria.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1229690 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Lusitano GC Evora x Comercio Industria

Is it a good idea to bet on Lusitano GC Evora?

🔵 Lusitano GC Evora: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 84.42% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.34. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 840 times – profiting $285.60;
  • And would have lost other 160 times – with a loss of -$160.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$125.60.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 12.92% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.38. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 130 times – profiting $439.40;
  • And would lose other 870 times – losing -$870.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$430.60.

Is it worth betting on Comercio Industria?

🔴 Comercio Industria: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 2.66% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 7.82. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 30 times – having a profit of $204.60;
  • And would lose other 970 times – losing -$970.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$765.40.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Lusitano GC Evora x Comercio Industria

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Lusitano GC Evora
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Lusitano GC Evora x Comercio Industria

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 Lusitano GC Evora, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.25 Lusitano GC Evora.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.25 Comercio Industria.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Lusitano GC Evora x Comercio Industria

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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