Lusitano GC Evora x Moncarapachense Betting tips for March 9 in Portugal Campeonato Nacional

Our betting tip for Lusitano GC Evora x Moncarapachense, Sunday, 9/3/2025

📅 9/3/2025 15:00

Lusitano GC Evora 1.50

X 3.98

Moncarapachense 5.50

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Lusitano GC Evora x Moncarapachense:

🔮 Lusitano GC Evora wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Lusitano GC Evora, you can win up to $750.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

The main points for the tip for Lusitano GC Evora x Moncarapachense: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Lusitano GC Evora in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $79.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Moncarapachense in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-20.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Lusitano GC Evora scored at least 2 goal(s). 👉 Lusitano GC Evora is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Lusitano GC Evora x Moncarapachense?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2025, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Lusitano GC Evora x Moncarapachense:

Analysis from Lusitano GC Evora x Moncarapachense for the Portugal Campeonato Nacional – 9 of March

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Lusitano GC Evora x Moncarapachense right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1277138 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Lusitano GC Evora x Moncarapachense

Is it worth betting on Lusitano GC Evora?

🔵 Lusitano GC Evora: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 76.81% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 770 times – profiting $385.00;
• And would have lost other 230 times – with a loss of -$230.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$155.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 16.76% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.98. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 170 times – having a profit of $506.60;
• And would have lost other 830 times – with a loss of -$830.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$323.40.

Should you bet on Moncarapachense?

🔴 Moncarapachense: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 6.42% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 60 times – having a profit of $270.00;
• And would lose other 940 times – having a loss of -$940.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$670.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Lusitano GC Evora x Moncarapachense

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Lusitano GC Evora
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Lusitano GC Evora x Moncarapachense

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Lusitano GC Evora, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 Lusitano GC Evora.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.0 Moncarapachense.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Lusitano GC Evora x Moncarapachense

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.