Clube da Aposta Clube da Aposta menu  
What would you like to find?
fundo 1
free bonus kenya betting
Home » Predictions » Luverdense x Ceilandia Betting tips for May 10 in Brazil Serie D
Saturday, 10 May 2025, 21h00 Brazil Serie D
Luverdense Luverdense
PREDICTION Luverdense wins Probability 46% 1 X 2
Ceilandia Ceilandia
ODD: @2.2 Don't miss this prediction!

Luverdense x Ceilandia Betting tips for May 10 in Brazil Serie D

Our betting tip for Luverdense x Ceilandia, Saturday, 10/5/2025
📅 10/5/2025
21:00
Luverdense Luverdense
2.20
X
3.07
Ceilandia Ceilandia
3.00

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Luverdense x Ceilandia:

🔮 Luverdense wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Luverdense, you can win up to $1100.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Luverdense x Ceilandia:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Luverdense in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-327.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Ceilandia in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-100.0.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Luverdense x Ceilandia?

Maybe you already have an account on Bet365, but that is not a problem! We, from the Clube da Aposta, have been on this business since 2010 and know which bookies are trustworthy or not. Check out our list of the best betting sites in Kenya from 2025, you just have to click and bet:

Analysis from Luverdense x Ceilandia for the Brazil Serie D – 10 of May

🏟️ Luverdense X Ceilandia – Brazil Serie D
📅 10 of May, 2025 – 21:00
🔵 Luverdense – Winning probability: 46.50% | Fair line: 2.15
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 22.18% | Fair line: 4.51
🔴 Ceilandia – Winning probability: 31.32% | Fair line: 3.19
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Luverdense
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Luverdense x Ceilandia right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1322368 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Luverdense x Ceilandia

Is betting on Luverdense worth it?

🔵 Luverdense: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 46.5%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 460 times – profiting $552.00;
  • And would lose other 540 times – losing -$540.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$12.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 22.18% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.07. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 220 times – profiting $455.40;
  • And would have lost other 780 times – with a loss of -$780.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$324.60.

Is it a good idea to bet on Ceilandia?

🔴 Ceilandia: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 31.32%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 310 times – having a profit of $620.00;
  • And would have lost other 690 times – with a loss of -$690.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$70.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Luverdense x Ceilandia

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Luverdense
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Luverdense x Ceilandia

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Luverdense and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Luverdense.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Luverdense x Ceilandia

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 1.00, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
Newsletter
Newsletter

Receba o melhor conteúdo sobre Apostas Esportivas On-line direto na sua caixa de email

There is a problem with this PHP insert: missing both parameters