Maastricht x AZ Reserves Betting tips for March 14 in Netherlands Eerste Divisie

Our betting tip for Maastricht x AZ Reserves, Friday, 14/3/2025

📅 14/3/2025
19:00

Maastricht
2.10

X
3.60

AZ Reserves

2.87

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Maastricht x AZ Reserves:

🔮 Maastricht wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Maastricht, you can win up to $1050.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com

Some important points for the tip for Maastricht x AZ Reserves:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Maastricht in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $545.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on AZ Reserves in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $125.0.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Maastricht scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, AZ Reserves scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against AZ Reserves, Maastricht scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 AZ Reserves matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Maastricht x AZ Reserves, with Maastricht as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.

Summary

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Analysis from Maastricht x AZ Reserves for the Netherlands Eerste Divisie – 14 of March

🏟️ Maastricht X AZ Reserves – Netherlands Eerste Divisie
📅 14 of March, 2025 – 19:00
🔵 Maastricht – Winning probability: 58.29% | Fair line: 1.72
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 18.26% | Fair line: 5.48
🔴 AZ Reserves – Winning probability: 23.45% | Fair line: 4.26
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Maastricht
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Maastricht and AZ Reserves.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1281036 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Maastricht x AZ Reserves

Is it worth betting on Maastricht?

🔵 Maastricht: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 58.29% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

Would have hit 580 times – having a profit of $638.00;
And would lose other 420 times – losing -$420.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$218.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 18.26% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

Would hit 180 times – profiting $468.00;
And would have lost other 820 times – with a loss of -$820.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$352.00.

Is it worth betting on AZ Reserves?

🔴 AZ Reserves: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 23.45% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.87. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

Would hit 230 times – profiting $430.10;
And would lose other 770 times – losing -$770.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$339.90.

Handicaps analysis for the match Maastricht x AZ Reserves

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Maastricht
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Maastricht x AZ Reserves

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Maastricht and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Maastricht.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Maastricht.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Maastricht x AZ Reserves

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.00 goals.