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Analysis from Maastricht x FC Volendam for the Netherlands Eerste Divisie – 21 of January
🏟️ Maastricht X FC Volendam – Netherlands Eerste Divisie
When the best bet on Maastricht x FC Volendam is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 290581 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Maastricht x FC Volendam
Is it a good idea to bet on Maastricht?
🔵 Maastricht: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 1.61% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.42. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 20 times – having a profit of $68.40;
- And would lose other 980 times – losing -$980.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$911.60.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 2.49% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 20 times – profiting $62.00;
- And would lose other 980 times – having a loss of -$980.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$918.00.
Is it worth betting on FC Volendam?
🔴 FC Volendam: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 95.9% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.61. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 960 times – having a profit of $585.60;
- And would lose other 40 times – having a loss of -$40.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$545.60.
Handicaps analysis for the match Maastricht x FC Volendam
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.0 Maastricht
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Maastricht x FC Volendam
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +1.0 Maastricht and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.75 Maastricht.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 FC Volendam.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Maastricht x FC Volendam
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves